Week 13 Recap
Andy Dalton: 220/2/0 (rushing touchdown)
Jay Cutler: 202/0/1
Kyle Rudolph: 3/13/0
Jordan Reed: 3/33/0
Russell Wilson: 274/3/0 (rushing touchdown)
Drew Brees: 282/3/1
Gary Barnidge: 5/59/0
Vance McDonald: 2/18/0
Year to Date Totals (total starts):
Fantasy Ca$h Quarterbacks (26): 7063/43/25 (272 ypg)
Fantasy Crash Quarterbacks (25): 6451/47/16 (258 ypg)
Fantasy Ca$h Tight Ends (26): 127/1382/7 (53 ypg)
Fantasy Crash Tight Ends (26): 90/793/10 (31 ypg)
Blake Bortles vs. IND
Bortles got it done for fantasy owners in Week 13. He had his best game of the season, and I expect a strong follow up performance this week at home against the Colts. It would be greedy to expect another 322/5/0 type of line, but with the struggles the Colts defense has demonstrated on the road this year, it might not be far off. In five of six road games, they have allowed multiple touchdown passes. They have also been torched for 300+ yards in three of those games. The schedule makers haven’t done the Colts any favors with this being their third road game over a four-week stretch.
Jameis Winston vs. NO
Winston showed up as a ‘crash’ for me two weeks ago. One of the main reasons was lack of volume, which translated to mediocre yardage/fantasy point outputs. However, when playing against the Saints defense, a quarterback doesn’t need 35+ attempts to post QB1 numbers. Their defense is on a historically bad stretch. Over their last five games, they have allowed 21 touchdown passes. To put that in perspective, 15 teams in the league have allowed less than that for the ENTIRE SEASON. The yardage has been just as easy to come by. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for over 320 yards in five of the past six games. Famous Jameis has yet to post a 300-yard passing game as a professional. However, according to a source that I just made up, he is willing to wager five pounds of fresh, steamed crab legs that he is able to achieve that feat this week. With the stakes high, I expect Jameis to deliver.
Travis Kelce vs SD
Let’s start out with a depressing stat for Kelce owners. In the last 46 quarters of football, Kelce has scored two touchdowns…stings the nostrils.
The good news is that he has been a consistent producer in the catch and yardage columns, which has led him to PPR success. He has only scored less than eight points twice all year and has yet to post a complete dud with six points being his lowest weekly total.
The Chargers have struggled recently against opposing tight ends. They have allowed 33 receptions over their last four games, including double-digits against the Bears and Jaguars. Also, over that same stretch they have allowed three tight end touchdowns.
Richard Rodgers vs. DAL
I am going to roll the dice on Rodgers this week. I am not blinded by the 8/146/1 he posted last week. I am well aware that 61 of the yards and the touchdown came on and end of the game miracle. Even so, I like his level of involvement in the offense. Rodgers is quickly becoming A-Rod’s most trusted target. Last week he cashed in on all eight targets.
This is far from a dream matchup. The Cowboys have been tough on tight ends, but I will take my chances with someone on the other end of A-Rod’s passes.
Matt Ryan @ CAR
I kept waiting…and waiting…and waiting for Matt Ryan to turn it around this season, but finally in Week 14 I am throwing in the towel. Maybe it’s the system? Maybe it’s been the game flow? Whatever is going on with Matt Ryan, he is failing to live up to his preseason fantasy expectations. Here is a quick recap of what he has accomplished, or really what he has failed to accomplish this season.
300-yard games: 3
Multiple touchdown pass games: 5
Multiple interception games: 5
20-point fantasy games (ESPN): 1
As you can see, it hasn’t been good. I don’t expect things to get better this week with Ryan traveling to Carolina to take on a Panthers defense that has allowed only two 300 yard passing games all year. Assuming Josh Norman can handle Julio Jones, Ryan will have no chance to put up quality fantasy stats. It is hard to trust Ryan even in a premium matchup at this point. With fantasy playoffs beginning this week you have to look elsewhere.
Derek Carr @ DEN
While I don’t like the direction that Ryan is heading, I do like what I see from Derek Carr. However, this ‘crash’ is completely based on the matchup that is the Denver Broncos defense. I don’t even know where to start. It is all so impressive. The fact that they haven’t allowed a single game of 300 yards passing yet this season would probably be enough in itself to scare me off this matchup. When you throw in that they have allowed multiple touchdown passes on three occasions and only once at home that is the nail in the coffin. As dominate as the Denver pass defense has been I would have a hard time starting any quarterback against them, especially in Denver.
Eric Ebron @ STL
Despite the Lions offense showing some flashes the past few weeks, Ebron has taken a back seat. The goal line touchdown he scored last week against a broken coverage has been his only highlight going back the last five games. Over that stretch, he has turned out 11 receptions and has failed to collect more than 30 yards receiving in any game. With Jim Bob Cooter (never gets old) trying to establish and ground game, and the reemergence of Golden Tate (23 receptions over his last three games) there just hasn’t been enough footballs to go around. At this point Ebron can definitely be considered touchdown dependant and that is bad news as the Rams have only allowed four tight end touchdowns this season.
Tyler Eifert vs. Steelers
Eifert returned to practice late in the week and is “on track to play Sunday” according to ESPN’s Bob Holtzman. Something about Eifert makes me nervous this week. I am not one to risk starting a guy who is questionable this time of the year. Coaches are fickle beings and while he might dress and be “active” there is no guarantee on how many snaps he plays. Besides something rubs me the wrong way about Eiferts production. It is hard to hate on the league leader in touchdown receptions despite missing a game, but these weak yardage numbers have compelled me to do so. Over his last six games, he has gone over 40 receiving yards exactly…once. He has as many multiple touchdown games as he does 50-yard games. Maybe he really is just that good in the red zone and he will continue this incredible pace of catching a touchdown pass every 3.8 receptions, but I don’t see it.
As for the matchup, the Steelers started out the year terribly against tight ends, allowing six tight end touchdowns over their first five games. They have since settled down, allowing just two touchdowns over their last seven games. During that stretch they faced Eifert and held him to 4/39/0. I could see a similar line produced Sunday.
Good luck in your playoff matchup, hope to see you in the semis.
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Our guests this week are Davin Joseph, Coach Jeff Nelson, and Bill Latin. Davin is a 2-time Pro-Bowl guard and first round pick in 2006 of the Tampa Bay Bucs. Jeff is a defensive coach from White Hall H.S. in PA, and is a 2-time MLFF Champion. Bill is a writer with dynastyfootballwarehouse.com. Come join a lively debate!
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