Last week I went against picking the Vikings again. Two of my four picks scored just 3 points: Rams and Panthers, but my other picks all came through. The Patriots and Eagles scored 11 and 8 points (ESPN Standard Scoring), and my sleeper picks: Green Bay (9 points) and Dallas (5 points) both had decent games.
This week I won’t make the same mistake so I’m going with Minnesota as my start of the week…not playing? Well, even not playing they’ll do better than five or six teams, but if you expect something greater than zero this is what I’ve come up with below. Also, if you play in IDP leagues don’t forget to scroll down for Safety and Corner picks for Week 6.
Buffalo Bills (vs San Francisco) – Last week the Bills Defense had 4 Sacks, 2 INT’s, 1 Forced Fumble and a Defensive TD. They are ranked 3rd overall behind only Minnesota and Arizona. This week they face a struggling San Francisco team that is on a 4 game losing streak and has turned Quarterback duties back over to Colin Kaepernick.
Kaepernick will hope to provide a spark to the San Francisco offense, but ultimately it will come down to talent, and the 49ers best receiver is Jeremy Kerley who was released by the Jets in March of this year after receiving very little playing time in 2015. He was then signed by Detroit, but traded to San Francisco just before the regular season began. Kerley out of the slot has 5 more receptions than the 49ers’ 1 & 2 receivers through five weeks this year. There’s a chance Torrey Smith gets more involved this week, but a better chance the Bills continue their 3 game winning streak and help your Fantasy Team score defensive points.
Houston Texans (vs Indianapolis) – This is probably my least favorite option, but I can’t ignore that nobody seems to be able to get open for the Colts other than TY Hilton. Donte Moncrief has definitely been missed, as Phillip Dorsett and Chester Rogers struggle to make plays each week. The Texans were thoroughly beaten last week by the Vikings, but the Colts don’t have the defense of the Vikings, and should be the ones controlling the ball this week with Lamar Miller. The Colts offensive line continues to be a work in progress, struggling more in pass protection than run blocking and the Texans have continued to play well despite the loss of JJ Watt.
Seattle Seahawks (vs Atlanta) – Last week I expected the Denver Broncos to be able to shut down Atlanta, and they did well against Atlanta’s receivers, but gave up a ton of plays to Freeman and Coleman out of Atlanta’s backfield. Seattle will fare better this week, and be helped by their offense that will move the ball themselves against a young Atlanta defense.
I expect Seattle to be able to force Atlanta into several mistakes this week. This could be somewhat of a shootout, but the Seattle defense should be able to rack up some points regardless.
Arizona Cardinals (vs New York Jets) – Arizona has been up and down this season. They have a chance to get back to .500 at home Monday night against a Jets team that is struggling to run the ball and replace Eric Decker. They have the 2nd ranked Fantasy defense through 5 weeks this year, and are coming off of a 17 point output against the 49ers last week. For the Jets, Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to struggle, although he was interception free last week after throwing 9 INT’s the previous two weeks.
I’d expect Fitzpatrick to get back to previous form i.e. week 3 and 4 this week against a good Cardinals secondary. Also, Calais Campbell and Chandler Jones are both playing well now up front for the Cardinals and this defense should roll Monday night.
Jacksonville Jaguars (sleeper play) – The Jacksonville defense has struggled, but one silver lining is they have held all opposing quarterbacks under 235 yards this season – just don’t check how many TD’s they have given up. If Blake Bortles can consistently start moving the ball, Jacksonville has some play-makers on defense that will start translating into Fantasy points for this team. Against Chicago this week, coming off of a bye, the Jaguars could surprise.
Tennessee Titans (sleeper play) – The Titans defense are coming off a 13 point game last week against Miami. This week at home against Cleveland the trend should continue. Kessler is back at QB for Cleveland this week after getting knocked out of last week’s game (ribs). Josh McCown appears to be at least another week away from playing. I wouldn’t expect 13 points from this group, but 7 or 8 points should be within reach.
Safety and Corner Starts
Now for the Safety and Corner plays for IDP leagues. Here you won’t find names like Reshad Jones, Tony Jefferson, Marcus Peters or Bashaud Breeland who should be starts almost every week. Instead I will focus on the guys who are not top five at their position in Fantasy Points, and try to give good starting options from the remaining players. This will be an evolving list throughout the season, so someone who is not on my list this week may be used later in the season.
Jonathan Cyprien (JAC) – Cyprien against an above average Chicago offense since Hoyer and Howard have taken over is a great Fantasy matchup.
Clayton Geathers (IND) – Since returning from a foot injury, Geathers has slowly regained last year’s effectiveness. This week against Lamar Miller and the Texans receivers he should be busy.
Antoine Bethea (SF) – Bethea has played well over the last two weeks. This week he will again be in line for a bunch of tackles against Lesean McCoy and the Buffalo Bills.
Karl Joseph (OAK) – Joseph has consistently produced since he was inserted into the starting lineup in Week 3. This week against Kansas City should be no exception.
Kenny Vaccaro (NO) – Vaccaro should be heavily involved in trying to stop Greg Olsen, Kelvin Benjamin and a returning Cam Newton this week. In a game that should be relatively high scoring Vaccaro should have a similar output.
Adam Jones (CIN) – Jones will be very busy this week trying to stop Tom Brady and all of his targets. Jones is also not afraid to take on Rob Gronkowski or Martellus Bennett if he finds himself in that situation.
Lamarcus Joyner (LA) – Joyner’s stats so far this season have almost exclusively come from tackles. This week against a pass heavy Detroit team he should add quite a few to his total. Also if Detroit does intend to get Golden Tate more heavily involved, Joyner should be the one lining up against him.
Jason McCourty (TEN) – McCourty has intercepted a pass in two straight games and has always been good against the run. This week he faces a Cleveland team that will have to try to run the ball and focus on Gary Barnidge and Terelle Pryor in the passing game.
Jalen Ramsey (JAC) – Ramsey has a good matchup with Chicago this week. Chicago has consistently moved the ball under Brian Hoyer and Eddie Royal, Alshon Jeffery and Cameron Meredith are an above average receiving core that will provide Ramsey with a lot of opportunities this weekend.
Robert Alford (ATL) – Alford ended up as a “Fail” for me last week, but it was largely due to the ineffectiveness of Paxton Lynch in his first start for Denver. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks will provide him more opportunity this week.
How Did I Do Last Week?
Last week I did pretty well. I’m including 7 of 10 picks as “Nailed” vs “Failed” in Week 5. Points and expectations differ with different scoring systems, but all of these picks had productive games.
|Karl Joseph – 3 Solo Tackles, 3 Assists, 1 Pass Defended, 1 INT, 1 Fumble Recovered|
|Barry Church – 7 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist|
|T.J. Ward – 6 Solo Tackles, 2 Assists, 1 Forced Fumble, 1 Fumble Recovered|
|Keanu Neal – 6 Solo Tackles, 2 Assists, 1 Forced Fumble|
|Morgan Burnett – 5 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist, 1 Pass Defended|
|Adam Jones – 4 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist, 1 Pass Defended|
|Casey Hayward – 8 Solo Tackles|
|David Amerson – 3 Solo Tackles, 1 Pass Defended|
|Jacoby Glenn – 3 Solo Tackles|
|Robert Alford – 2 Solo Tackles|
Check back each week for D/ST starts and streaming options, along with IDP secondary picks. Good luck this fantasy season.
Find me on Twitter @JamesWilk2
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Major League Fantasy Football Show: Join Ej Garr, Corey D Roberts, and Bryan Luhrs live Sunday October 16th, 2016 from 11am-12:30pm EST for episode #72 of Major League Fantasy Football Radio. This is a live broadcast and we take callers at 323-870-4395 press 1 to speak with the hosts. We will be breaking down key matchups, discussing fantasy start/sit, some DFS, and handicapping as well.
Bryan is the owner os Real Deal Dynasty Sports, a writer with MLFS, and a frequent guest on our radio shows.
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