This week another six teams are on a bye: Cardinals, Bears, Bengals, Texans, Patriots and Redskins. The Vikings are coming off of their worst defensive performance of the year and appear to no longer be an every week start. Other defenses are on the rise such as the San Diego Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs who could get All-Pro OLB Justin Houston back soon – the latest they can activate him is November 9th.
Last Week I learned I probably shouldn’t pick 3 of 4 D/ST’s who were playing on the road. All 3 road picks’ point totals added together equaled 1 point (Minnesota -2, Arizona 2 and the New York Jets 1). The home team, Denver, did well with 17 points, as well as my two sleeper picks that were also playing at home (Dallas 7 points and Chicago 10 points). This week I reversed the plan and only took one road team among my Top 4 picks.
Kansas City Chiefs (vs Jacksonville) – The Chiefs defense has been solid all season except for a horrible outing in Pittsburgh. This week they get the Jaguars at home. The Jaguars have struggled to do anything on offense prior to 4th Quarter garbage time, and with Bortles’ poor decision making and poor passing performance so far, Kansas City is likely to win the turnover battle in this game.
Carolina Panthers (@ Los Angeles) – Carolina has disappointed every time I’ve picked them so far this season. But last week they finally showed some resemblance to the dominant 15-1 team from last season. This week they are on the road against the Rams who have had an extra week to prepare. Nonetheless, Rams QB Case Keenum has thrown 7 INT’s over his last three games, and I like Carolina to continue with their improved play on defense.
San Diego Chargers (vs Tennessee) – The Chargers, with Joey Bosa, now are able to put pressure on opposing Quarterbacks. They have also been playing well against the run of late and if they are able to get an early lead this week at home versus the Titans the new found pass rush will benefit.
Keep an eye on the San Diego injury situation with their receivers. Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams are questionable, but if they play they should have enough to put points on the board. If they are down to Gates and Inman you may want to go with another defense.
Seattle Seahawks (vs Buffalo) – The Seattle defense currently ranks 8th in Fantasy points. They have yet to have any huge games this season, but they have been consistent, with 4 points being their worst outing. Monday night they will face Buffalo at home, and it appears Lesean McCoy will play. Seattle has been good at stopping the run, and has fast linebackers sideline to sideline that should be able to contain McCoy who will be less than 100%. This should be another solid game for Seattle, nearing double digit points.
New Orleans Saints (sleeper play) – The Saints are on the road in San Francisco this week. The 49’ers are coming off of their bye week, but still lack talent at the quarterback and receiver positions. For the Saints, corner Delvin Breaux returns to the lineup after missing several weeks with an injury, and their 2016 First Round Draft Pick, DT Sheldon Rankins, will make his debut. Carlos Hyde is still a question mark this week for the 49’ers. His playing time could be based on pain tolerance. The Saints are currently dead last among Fantasy Defenses, but this game should easily be their best. I would expect 6 to 8 points this week.
Miami Dolphins (sleeper play) – Miami is facing the struggling New York Jets at home. The Jets came from behind last week after giving up an early lead to the Cleveland Browns. Miami is coming off of their bye week. The Jets are strong against the run, which is Miami’s forte of late (2 games). I don’t expect another 200 yard game for Jay Ajayi this week, but Miami will be able to run enough to keep the Jets defense honest, and this should lead to a good week for QB Ryan Tannehill. The Miami defense stays fresh in this one and has another 6 to 8 point outing.
Safety and Corner Starts
Now for the Safety and Corner plays for IDP leagues. Below are picks for Week 9, focusing primarily on players who are not currently top five at their position in Fantasy Points. The current Top 5 Safeties (using Major League Fantasy Sports scoring) are: Tony Jefferson, Landon Collins, T.J. Ward, Rodney McLeod and Reggie Nelson. The Top 5 Corners are: Casey Hayward, Aqib Talib, Robert Alford, Marcus Peters and Jason McCourty.
Karl Joseph (OAK) – Joseph is a good play nearly every week at this point. He can get points in a variety of ways.
Morgan Burnett (GB) – Burnett has always played well when healthy, and he has an excellent matchup this week at home against Andrew Luck and the Colts.
Johnathan Cyprien (JAC) – This should be a good week for Cyprien on the road against the Chiefs. Nick Foles gets the start and is more likely to throw an interception than Alex Smith despite his stats in his first year under Coach Andy Reid.
Eric Weddle (BAL) – Weddle faces the Steelers this week and should be busy with the return of Ben Roethlisberger. Weddle should be a big part of trying to stop Leveon Bell out of the backfield and the Steelers receivers downfield.
Eric Reid (SF) – Reid faces Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints at home this week, and should garner quite a few tackles against the trio of Saints receivers.
Tramaine Brock (SF) – Brock will be helping Eric Reid, Antoine Bethea and the rest of the 49’ers defense in trying to stop the Saints this week. This matchup always has good IDP potential based on the volume of passing the Saints normally generate.
Troy Hill (LA) – Hill is a tackle heavy corner for the Rams, and on this team the corners almost always have more tackles than the safeties. Hill gets a Carolina offense that should be able to stay on the field this week.
Chris Harris (DEN) – Denver hasn’t been very good lately against the run, but Oakland doesn’t run the ball much. Harris covers the left side of the field, and should see quite a few targets come his way this weekend.
DeShawn Shead (SEA) – Shead is ranked just outside of the Top 5 corners. This week he faces the Buffalo offense which normally does not throw as much as most other offenses. He will still provide help to seal the edges against a Buffalo team that likes to run to the outside, and defend against the Buffalo receivers if Seattle is able to take an early lead.
Robert Blanton (BUF) – Blanton is coming off of a 10 tackles game against the Patriots. He has the opportunity for a similar type of game this week against Seattle.
How Did I Do Last Week?
Last week was a good week hitting on 7 of my 10 picks, and even among my three fails, 4 points is not an awful total for a corner in a tackle heavy league.
|Morgan Burnett – 8 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist|
|Donte Whitner – 8 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist|
|Keanu Neal – 4 Solo Tackles, 4 Assists, 1 Forced Fumble|
|Karl Joseph – 7 Solo Tackles, 1 TFL, 2 Passes Defended|
|DeShawn Shead – 6 Solo Tackles, 2 Assists|
|Jamar Taylor – 3 Solo Tackles, 4 Passess Defended|
|Marcus Cooper – 5 Solo Tackles, 1 Assist|
|Harrison Smith – 4 Solo Tackles, 2 Assists|
|Bashaud Breeland – 4 Solo Tackles|
|Morris Claiborne – 4 Solo Tackles|
Check back each week for D/ST starts and streaming options, along with IDP secondary picks. Good luck this fantasy season.
Find me on Twitter @JamesWilk2
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Major League Fantasy Football Show: Join Ej Garr, Corey D Roberts, and Bryan Luhrs live Sunday November 6th, 2016 from 11am-12:30pm EST for episode #75 of Major League Fantasy Football Radio. This is a live broadcast and we take callers at 323-870-4395 press 1 to speak with the hosts. We will be breaking down key matchups, discussing fantasy start/sit, some DFS, and handicapping as well.
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