The best time to draft is a day or two before the season starts. Q.E.D.: you’re in a league drafted a month ago and you were all pumped up about having the best RB prospect for the Redskins in forever, Derrius Guice on your squad. OOPS. Or you were in a draft earlier this week and even though you knew that there was already an injury concern, you said EFF IT and jumped all over pass catching whiz and lead back for the Niners, Jerick Mckinnon. OUCH. Or you gambled a mid-round pick on the Eagles “#1” wideout Alshon Jeffery. BUMMER.
Jeffery will play at some point but the real panic is for the owners of Guice and McKinnon who could have cost them as high as a 3rd round pick. If you had both – make sure to stop at every stop sign and look twice before proceeding. The obvious move is to just plug in the “new guy” that took the place of the bastid who got hurt. The problem is twofold- the “new guy” may not be that easily pinpointed and every vulture in your league will try to cut you off at the pass.
REDSKIN RB Situation
Adrian Peterson has the name value but is he washed up? If last year was any indication, that’s a big fat YES. Of the over 2,500 carries in his illustrious career, last year’s 156 (3.4 yards per carry) were ugly. The burst was lacking and the power was not there. The year before was even worse: a lowly 37 carries for 72 yards followed by a season-ending injury. But still the waiver wires are on fire with the hordes dreaming of a rebirth for a 33-year-old player that was signed in desperation . Other valid options for the Redskins are Rob Kelley who failed to impress last year and Chris Thompson who looked fantastic but is really more of a receiving threat than a runner (and oh, by the way, is still recovering from a broken leg). Samje Perine is a bowling ball type and had plenty of work last year (175-604-1) but probably isn’t worth a pick in standard leagues. Picking Peterson, despite many trials and tribulations, is an option but be wary (cheap bid in FAAB or wire pickup): expect nothing and you could be surprised. More than likely, at this juncture in the typical league, there will be many more interesting/upside options.
NINERS RB Situation
Jerick Mckinnon was one of the most buzzed about names this summer. An exciting guy who had shown glimpses of being more than one of the best pass receiving RB’s in the land. The career rushing stats (474 carries and a measly 7 TD’s) have got to make you wonder. So the debate raged on Can a guy 5’9″ and 205 lbs take the pounding as THE MAN? Being in Frisco was an exciting prospect but then in a second he was done for the season. At least he got the money!
Signing bonus: $2 million
Base salary: $4.2 million
Roster bonus: $5.5 million
Per game roster bonus: $250,000
Workout bonus: $50,000
Prorated SB: $500,000
Cap hit: $10.5 million
Alfred Morris was a very good running back in his early years and has racked up over 5,000 yards rushing (4.4 YPC). Last year there was a bit of a renaissance in Dallas when he had 547 yards rushing as a placeholder for Elliot (suspended). But this is a guy 30 years old who saw a steep four-year slope as a Redskin even before the last two years. Probably a hard worker and nice guy but do you want an RB on your team that has caught 57 balls in 92 games? Probably not.
Matt Breida is an interesting option for those who haven’t drafted yet. Let’s not call this a Lou Gehrig/Wally Pipp situation but last year’s glimpse (664 total yards/ 3TDs) showed that this former Georgia Southern legend has potential. If he is available as a post-draft free agent, grab him. As a draftee later this week, he is a very valid #3 RB on your roster.
Khalil Mack is now a Chicago Bear and a very rich man. In the IDP world he’s unusual insofar as he’s been a top guy at linebacker and defensive end. This year the Bears will station him primarily at OLB but make no mistake about it he’s there primarily to wreak havoc in backfields. In fantasy football I’ve seen him listed in the top five at both positions depending on format. So nothing has changed really: if Mack is already on your team, rejoice. He’s signed and will produce instantly as well as or if not better than while at Oakland. As far as Bears defense is concerned, if you are in a behind-the-times league, bump them up a couple notches in whatever Team Defense rankings you had before this blockbuster.
But what are the fantasy ramifications for his old team? First off, the Oakland defense, which wasn’t great in the first place, can safely be moved to the streamers list. As far as IDP’s, surely Bruce Irvin’s stock has risen. Expect 10 sacks at a bargain basement price.
Antonio Gates is back with the Chargers. Last year was supposed to have been it for the big guy and the coronation of the league’s next great TE Hunter Henry. Gates was used as a role player (30-316-3) while Henry, in his 2nd year played more and did reasonably well (45-579-4). But a ruined knee has resulted on one man’s delay to Canton and another wondering what if. At 38 years old Gates is nowhere near the force he was in years prior but the connections with Rivers are undeniable. All things considered, he is probably not a top 12 tight end right now. But keep him in mind as a bench material type that will post a few good games and conceivably 6-8 TD’s along the way.
Hard to believe that the season is finally here. I’ve picked four teams so far and have two drafts this week. All but one league uses IDPs. Going forward, after week one action, I will be writing a waiver wire pickups article entitled The Forgotten Men.
So Long for Now
Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio Show: Join host Brian Roach, Jr, and Cole Freel live on Sunday August 26th, 2018 from 8-9:30pm EST for episode #134 of Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio. We are a live broadcast that will take callers at 323-870-4395. Press 1 to speak with the host. This will be our final fantasy baseball show of the 2018 season. Come join us to give our final thoughts on the season as well as the fantasy playoffs and roto league stretch runs.
Major League Fantasy Football Radio Show: Join host Corey D Roberts live August 16th, 2018 from 8-9:30pm EST for episode #89 of Major League Fantasy Football Radio. Call in number is 323-870-4395 press 1 to speak with the host. This week we will take a close look at some possible ADP steals in our drafts this season.
My guest this week is Andy Macuga. He is the former Head Football and Baseball Coach for Borrego Springs H.S. out in the San Diego area. Andy is also a 6 year veteran of Major League Fantasy Sports leagues and a frequent radio guest.