Dede Westbrook vs Redskins – $5,400 FD/$4,500 DK – The Redskins give up 11.7 yards per catch and they have a guy named Greg Stroman who figures to line up on Westbrook in the slot. Westbrook is clearly Cody Kessler’s favorite target and they will at least need to throw the ball at times during the game which figures to be a competitive one deep into the 4th quarter given each team’s circumstances. Although the Jaguars will look to move the ball mainly in the running game this week, when they do decide to throw the rock, Westbrook should be the guy.
Julian Edelman @ Steelers – $7,200 FD/$7,200 DK – The Steelers have benched Mike Hilton in favor of Cam Sutton at slot corner this week so look for Edelman and Brady to feast on the Steelers new starting corner.
Robert Foster vs Lions – $5,400 FD/$4,300 DK – Robert Foster is fast and Mike Ford, one of the Lions starting corners who figures to line up on Foster most of the day simply isn’t that good. I hesitate recommending any Buffalo Bills wide receiver in DFS but he’s come through lately, and with a quarterback like Josh Allen who has an extremely live arm, guys like Foster have huge upside if their QB can actually get them the ball. It will take some stones to play him, but if you do and he catches a big one, you will be glad you bet on his talent.
Corey Davis @ Giants – $5,800 FD/$5,600 DK – Janoris Jenkins, the top corner for the Giants, is no slouch but Davis has a clear height and overall size advantage on him. Davis is by no means a burner, but he’s a clear #1 receiver and I think there’s a solid chance he can get it done through volume against the Giants this week who are giving up 11.7 yards per catch this year.
Amari Cooper @ Colts – $6,600 FD/$7,500 DK – Quincy Wilson figures to line up on Amari Cooper for most of the game on Sunday and although Wilson has been pretty good this year, Cooper is pretty good himself, and should be able to come through in this one. Last week, Zeke Elliott touched the ball 40 times in the Cowboys victory over the Eagles, and the Cowboys may not be looking to feed Zeke the way they did last week, especially since the Colts have a solid run defense, giving up only 3.8 yards per carry on the season which is near best in the league. The Cowboys may need to lean on Dak a little more than usual in this one given the matchup and if Dak throws more, Cooper should see more volume as the Cowboys’ #1 receiving option.
This week, if you decide to play a slate involving the Sunday and/or Monday night game, there are some receivers involved that have really good matchups. Brandin Cooks will see a lot of Rasul Douglas against the Eagles on Sunday night and Robert Woods will see a healthy dose of Cre’Von LeBlanc. Admittedly, I don’t know who LeBlanc is. Goff has been considerably better at home than on the road since taking over as the Rams starter and even though Todd Gurley has an extremely good matchup against a struggling Eagles run defense, both of these receivers should be able to come through with efficient efforts given the talent level they will be going against.
In the Monday Night game, Michael Thomas will see a lot of James Bradberry of the Panthers who hasn’t been playing as well lately as he was to start the season, and Curtis Samuel should get a healthy dose of PJ Williams who has been vulnerable all season.
Jeff Wilson Jr. vs Seahawks – $6,100 FD/$4,600 DK – the Seahawks give up 5.0 yards per carry and teams have been running on them an average of 22.8 times per game. Even if Matt Breida plays in this one, he’s demonstrated the inability to stay healthy and carry the load so it makes sense to roll Wilson out there who has been one of the 49ers top offensive weapon as of late. Moreover, it’s pretty clear that Kyle Shanahan wants to run the football, and whoever plays running back for the 49ers is going to have success.
Sony Michel @ Steelers – $6,700 FD/$5,400 DK – Although the Steelers are only giving up 4.0 yards per carry on the season, the Patriots offensive line matches up well against the Steelers defensive front according to PFF OL/DL matchup chart which means that the Patriots may look to pound the rock with Michel in this one and take advantage of the matchup and keep Big Ben off the field. Both teams are coming off crushing upset losses in week 14 and both will be looking to reassert themselves.
David Johnson @ Falcons – $7,400 FD/$7,100 DK – The Falcons are always vulnerable to running backs in the pass game and on top of it they surrender 5.0 yards per carry which is good for second worst in the league. Not much more analysis needed here.
Joe Mixon vs Raiders – $7,800 FD/$6,100 DK – The Raiders have given up 119.4 yards per game on the ground and 4.8 yards per carry this year. Even if Joe Mixon is clearly the biggest threat the Bengals have, he should still come through. Think about it like this: teams have been playing with a lead on the Raiders all year, and the Raiders need to know teams are going to run on them to bleed the clock, and they still can’t stop it. The Bengals need this one bad, and the Raiders are coming off an emotional thriller last week after defeating the Steelers. The Raiders are also making a cross-country trip which doesn’t help matters much.
Jordan Howard vs Packers – $5,500 FD/$3,900 DK – Jordan Howard is my guy, I should be the President of his fan club, and last week, he popped off over 100 yards rushing for the first time all year against the Rams. It should be noted that the Rams are the NFL’s worst rushing defense on a per play basis, giving up 5.1 yards per rush, but the Packers aren’t far behind surrendering about 4.6 yards per carry. In the first matchup against the Packers, Howard was on his way to a solid night before the Bears seemingly got away from the run and Howard faded. Hopefully, after seeing last week that Howard can produce solid yardage on the ground if given sufficient chances, the Bears deploy a similar game plan and pound the rock in an effort to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.
The Rams are home against the Eagles on Sunday Night Football who give up a terrible 4.9 yards per carry but they only give up 106.6 yards per game because teams simply don’t run the ball much against them, only 21.8 times per game. Todd Gurley is coming off an uninspiring performance last week against the Bears in a game where he didn’t see a lot of work, so he should bounce back nicely here at home in a good matchup if you are playing a slate including the Sunday night night game.