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“Wizard of Goz”- Week #5 HI/LO: GET OUT THE PADDY WAGON

Peak performance has been known to be most common at 26 – 28 years old. That doesn’t mean to say players cannot have really, really good years at 20, 22 or 24. Read on and you’ll get what I’m talking about.

Foreign Legion DivisionImage result for Yandy diaz Cuba

SELL Yandy Diaz/ Sagua la Grande, CUBA- pounding the ball/7 DINGERS/ 18R/ 18 RBI/ .990 OPS

AGE: 28

How does a player who hit one homer in 265 career at bats hit like this in April 2019? It is new muscles, no way, he had them last year also. One thing for sure the Rays absolutely stole this guy from a team who’s offense is sketchy, the Cleveland Indians.

Best bet is a SELL MEDIUM play (no one will break the bank on him) OR, if you’re lame at corner (plays 1B or 3B) this could be a player to seek if you can find the right fit for the other team.

BUY Luis Urias/ Magdalena de Kino, MEXICO-

AGE: 22

Smacked a pair of September homers as a 21 year old and started season with the Padres. Got the quick hook after going 2/24 but has been tearing AAA apart ever since. Last year in 450 at bats he hit eight homers at AAA. He’s not a big man (listed at 5’9″ and 185 lbs.) but more of a gaps hitter capable of power. This year he’s already smashed seven homers in eleven games! Granted this is the Pacific Coast league and not the NL. Touted as a line drive hitter capable of power. Stopping him at the moment is veteran Ian Kinsler who has been dreadful. The Padres youth swing is in full session, expect Urias to get a callback real soon. If available grab him quickly, if on another team see if you can acquire (at lowish cost).

SELL Max Kepler/ Berlin, GERMANY-

AGE: 26

I truly believe that this year (age 26) will propel Kepler to a solid B player (25-80-.266). That said he will be a strong SUPPORTING CHARACTER for a team with so-so outfielders. Worth is impossible to say but if you have a strong offense and weak pitching this could be a good SELL HIGH chip. Worst case scenario- he stays on your team and helps move the needle on counting stats other than SBs.

Image result for tatis jr pic

SELL Fernando Tatis Jr./ San Pedro de Marcoris,  DOMINICAN REPUBLIC- immortal 100 at bat rookie run/ .300 avg/.910 OPS/6 HR/13 RBI/6 SB 

AGE: 20

The Padres fooled a lot of people by naming FT2 as opening day shortstop. It’s not that he wasn’t regarded as “can’t miss’ but it just seemed a bit crazy based on the fact that he was so young (won’t be 21 until January) and inexperienced (88 games at AA, never played AAA). Lastly, was the fact that last year ended abruptly (broken wrist). The power/ speed combo emerged the last two years and this year is no different. Strikeouts are the only blemish (>30%). if that can ever be adjusted he’d quickly be a contender for best player in the game, BAR NONE.

Unfortunately, Tatis just got hurt while stretching/ splitting on a force play.  Leg or groin injuries can really linger and that really make the art of making a deal FOR OR AGAINST Tatis a real conundrum. Owners seeking this dynamo have few scruples – they will lie and cheat to get this guy. Pretend he’s not even hurt and adjust the price to the clouds.

DISCLAIMER: DO NOT TRADE IN A DYNASTY LEAGUE- no matter what the haul.

Stars and Stripes Division

Chris Paddock/Austin, Texas- so far so great/ 6 starts/ 7 earned runs/ .125 opponents average /35Ks/ 2-1 record

AGE: 24

Another ballsy move thus far by the Padres was promoting this big Texan to the opening day roster. Paddock missed all of 2017 (Tommy John Surgery) but before, and afterwards, never had an ERA above 2.24. The K/BB rate was a comic book like 11.5K;1. Bear in mind above 3K:1 is considered good in MLB.

And then this spring he was lights out. And in the regular season nothing changed. The pitch count is definitely “a thing” – expect 100 to be tops. This years stats are not only incredible by any standard but remarkably similar to the days in the Bushes.

YEAR INNINGS ERA Ratio Krate K/BB
MINORS (3 years) 177 1.82 .805 11.5 11.5:1
2019 (as of 5/2) 33 1.84 ,697 9.5 3.8:1

NOTE: 2018 rebound was spectacular but for only 90 innings.  No way they double his innings – 150 is probable max. But owners out there will disregard this brutal reality and pay a steep price. SELL TO THE HIGHEST BIDDER.

 

Image result for nate lowe tampa bay pictures

Nate Lowe/ Norfolk, Virginia-

AGE: 24

Rhymes with crow. Really big man (6’4″ and 245 lb.) who not only can go deep but actually has a very good K/BB rate. Last year was the big ascension when he hit 27 bombs and had 102 RBI at three levels. Adding this lumberjack to the Rays lineup could be the move that puts them over the top IF HE IS FOR REAL. If he’s available even if you are a 1B hoarder grab the bastid …ever heard of Matt Olsen?

Brett Honeywell/Carnesville, Georgia-

AGE: 24

If the Rays were a story last year, this year they are fast becoming a legend. Admittedly, it’s early but the best pitching in MLB?? No one can argue the top three of Snell, Glasnow and Morton being THE BOMB right now. And add to one of the Rays highest rated starting pitcher prospects in their history, Brett Honeywell. Since he won’t be pitching for a few more months (recovering from TJS) his best value would be in dynasty but as a quick fix maybe he can help you this year. Since he hasn’t pitched since Spring Training in 2018 the price should be rather low but at 24 years old, on that team, with the kind of plus pitches he once had…pick him up and cross your fingers and toes.

 

CHEERS

Goz


Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio Show: Join host Brian Roach, Jr, and Cole Freel live on Sunday April 28th, 2019 from 8pm-9:30pm EST for episode #155 of Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio. We are a live broadcast that will take callers at 323-870-4395. Press 1 to speak with the host. You can listen live on blogtalk, majorleaguefantasysports.com, or download the podcast on I-Tunes or any Android podcast app. We will discuss spot starters for the coming week, plus a weekend update, and look ahead to next week.

Our guest this week is John Gozzi. John is a writer and editor with majorleaguefantasysports.com.

Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio Show: Join host Cole Freel, and Kyle Amore live on Thursday May 2nd, 2019 from 7:30-9pm EST for episode #156 of Major League Fantasy Baseball Radio. We are a live broadcast that will take callers at 323-870-4395. Press 1 to speak with the host. You can listen live on blogtalk, majorleaguefantasysports.com, or download the podcast on I-Tunes or any Android podcast app. Cole and Kyle will discuss the latest happenings in the world of MLB and fantasy. They will take a look back on the previous few days and a preview of the coming weekend. Including spot starts, bullpens, offense, and minor league players.

Fantasy Football 2019 League Openings: What do you want? Competition or Boredom?

Intense sports lover . a writer who specializes in creative non- fiction almost always challenging the status quo. I've suffered but remain a staunch Atlanta Braves fan and this year became a seasons ticket holder with the Atlanta Falcons (Mercedes Benz Stadium is AMAZING!) . Very proud of my wife Kerrie and awesome children Christianna and Trai Van. Hoping to retire in a few years at the most and to finally get my golf game to the next level more than likely in a warmer climate...lastly I'm looking forward to contributing as a staff writer and being "on air" for Major League Fantasy Sports this season

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. D

    May 4, 2019 at 9:27 am

    It’s spelled Chris Paddack. I appreciate the write up but it really takes away credibility if you don’t spell his name right.

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